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对在海外项目上流汗的朋友的一个坏消息

发表于2005-7-22  18条回复  1827次阅读    搜索相似帖  复制链接  只看楼主

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标签: 海外项目

Chinas Currency Rises Against Dollar
Thursday July 21, 10:28 pm ET
By Christopher Bodeen, Associated Press Writer
Chinas Currency Rises About 2 Percent Against Dollar Following Abandonment of Dollar Peg
SHANGHAI, China (AP) -- Chinas currency rose about 2 percent against the U.S. dollar at the start of trading on Friday, a day after the government cut the yuans link to the dollar in a move that could make Chinese exports more expensive and foreign assets cheaper for China to buy.
The yuan had been fixed at 8.277 to the dollar for more than a decade, keeping Chinas exports inexpensive but also forcing Chinese companies to pay more for imported products such as oil and iron ore.
The governments shift of the state-set exchange rate of the yuan on Thursday to 8.11 per dollar could give a respite to foreign companies that are trying to compete with an avalanche of low-cost Chinese goods.
But Chinese companies also could get a break as prices of imported oil and other raw materials fall. And a stronger currency could prompt more takeover bids by China like those launched recently for U.S. oil company Unocal Corp. and appliance maker Maytag Corp.
As of Friday, the yuan is limited to moving within a 0.3 percent band each day against a collection of as-yet unnamed foreign currencies.
The officially announced price at the end of each day will become the midpoint of trading for the next day, which could let the yuan edge up incrementally.
The U.S. government welcomed the move but said it would closely watch the changes. The small increase in the yuans value isnt likely to be enough on its own to satisfy trading partners who have said Chinese exporters had an unfair price advantage because the currency was undervalued by up to 40 percent.
But by dropping the dollar link and switching to a more flexible system based on a basket of foreign currencies, the Chinese have opened the door to a further, gradual rise in the yuans value.
The government announced the change in a surprise announcement on state televisions evening news.
The effect on U.S. financial markets was immediate: The dollar fell against other major currencies and yields on U.S. Treasury securities rose. If that rise in interest rates is sustained, it could make it more expensive for U.S. consumers to finance purchases of new cars, homes and other big-ticket items.
There was no clear indication of a single factor that prompted China to take the step now after rejecting foreign pressure for years and insisting that such a decision would be based solely on its own domestic economic concerns. Chinas central bank said the change was being made to "improve the socialist market economic system."
Economists have warned that Chinas economy may be overheating. The governments latest figures showed the countrys gross domestic product grew by 9.5 percent in the first half of 2005 from the same period a year earlier, despite efforts to rein it in.
A more flexible rate could help Chinese companies deal with price shocks and boost exporters profits even if sales fall, said Frank Gong, managing director of JPMorgan Chase & Co. in Hong Kong.
"It will help balance Chinese trade flows," he said. "It will help reduce the trade tensions that China has experienced with all of its major trading partners."
A stronger yuan could also encourage domestic spending, making Chinas economic growth less dependent on exports, he said.
Chinas decision to base the yuans value on a basket of foreign currencies such as the euro or Japanese yen could see the yuan rise in value as the dollar weakens against those currencies, dragged down by mounting U.S. budget and trade deficits.
A further rise in the currency would push up the price of Chinese goods in dollar terms, heightening competition with other low-wage makers of shoes, clothes and appliances such as Bangladesh or Indonesia. It also could prompt more Chinese tourists to travel abroad.
"It will slow down the growth in exports a little in China," said Nariman Behravesh, chief economist for the U.S. financial

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 当前离线   发表于2005-7-22  | 只看该作者      

2

狼终于还是来了。。。

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 当前离线   发表于2005-7-22  | 只看该作者      

3

人民币最终还是升值了,恨死索罗司了,当初让他借1亿美金,他居然小气不肯借!!!

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 当前离线   发表于2005-7-23  | 只看该作者      

4

我想知道人民币增值到底有什么影响 谁能告诉我

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 当前离线   发表于2005-7-24  | 只看该作者      

5

海外的战友们,项目部涨工资了吗?我们公司当年在东南亚金融风暴的时候,不多同志就损失惨重呀!

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 当前离线   发表于2005-7-24  | 只看该作者      

6

以下是引用大大勇在2005-7-23 10:11:00的发言:我想知道人民币增值到底有什么影响 谁能告诉我...
影响大家的口袋子呀!大家辛辛苦苦挣的美刀,小小的汇率一变化,前后换的人民币就不一样啦!
比如吧,有100万美元,以前汇率8.27,回家一换827万人民币,现在汇率8.11,回家一换811万!!! 前后16万蒸发了!!!2个百分点没了!
还好我没有100万,要不然损失大了,呵呵

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 当前离线   发表于2005-7-24  | 只看该作者      

7

如果你的工资本来就是人民币结算的,不就没事了。。。呵呵
或者,是欧元,日元。。。影响也不大。

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 当前离线   发表于2005-7-24  | 只看该作者      

8

看来这次中国是真的顶不住老霉的压力了,海外的朋友们以后要小心了

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 当前离线   发表于2005-7-25  | 只看该作者      

9

临时出国补贴是财政部的标准,我想大多数公司还是以此为准。
项目上很多也是以美元为工资计价本位币,发放美元/当地币+国内人民币。
所以,个人亏损的可能性很大,而且公司海外业绩在参加国内排名时也要缩水。

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 当前离线   发表于2005-7-25  | 只看该作者      

10

要求领导用人民币结算不就得了。
或者用美元以外的其他货币结算也成。
排名的问题。应该是好事。
因为人民币升值,明年的ENR应该有更多的中国公司排名上升才对。呵呵。
中建能否进入前10?

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